AASL M2023 Exam Prediction – IB Math Exam Question Prediction Based on Previous Years’ Statistics

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The AASL Math exams are a crucial component of the International Baccalaureate (IB) Math curriculum, as they account for 80% of a student’s final grade. As a result, it’s essential for students to prepare thoroughly for these exams to achieve their desired results. In this article, we will analyze past IB Math exams to identify patterns and come up with an AASL M2023 exam prediction of the types of questions that may appear this year. To do this, we have created a spreadsheet summarizing the data from the past five years’ exams, both in the May and November sessions. Each number in the spreadsheet represents the number of points dedicated to a specific topic, allowing us to identify which topics are most likely to be covered in the upcoming exam. It’s worth noting that the Math syllabus changed in 2021, meaning that AASL exams only began in M2021. However, we can still make predictions based on previous exam content, even though some topics may be out of the current syllabus. By analyzing past data, we hope to provide valuable insights to help students prepare for the AASL M2023 Math exam and achieve their desired results.

How did we collect the past IB Math AASL Exam data?

To predict the potential types of questions that may appear on the upcoming AASL Math exam, we collected data from the past five years’ exams, from May 2018 to Nov 2022. For the older syllabus, we used the Math SL paper, while for the years with the new syllabus, we used the AASL paper. We always used the timezone 2 paper for May sessions.

We analyzed each question and sub-question and categorized them into one of the topics listed on the AASL subject guide. In cases where a question touched on multiple topics, we looked at the markscheme to allocate individual marks to specific topics.

It’s important to note that our math tutor did their best to categorize the questions accurately. However, we cannot guarantee that we have 100% correctly determined which topic(s) a question belongs to, as we are not the IB. An example would be topic 4.6 and 4.11, where both topics include conditional probabilities. Hence when it comes to conditional probabilities we can never be 100% certain which topic it should fail into. Nevertheless, we believe that our efforts to categorize the questions will provide valuable insights into the types of questions that may appear on the AASL M2023 exam.

Predictions for the IB Math AASL M2023 Exam

In the following section, we will go over some key topics we believe that could be on the May 2023 AASL math exams. We wish we could go over all the topics, but due to limited resources we can only select a few. We separated the topics into 3 main categories, and provided a reason for why we put the topics in such categories. There are in general 2 deciding factors, the first being how many points the topics accumulated in the past 5 years, and the second being how much the topic was tested in recent years. 

If you have other ideas on how to analyze the data or have your own predictions, please leave them in the comments below to discuss!

Topics Extremely Likely to be on M2023 AASL Exam (Top Study Priority)

1. 3.2 Sine rule, cosine rule, SOHCAHTOA. Reason: Accumulated the 2nd most amount of points in the last 5 years and appeared with a high number of points in recent years.
2. 4.4 Linear correlation of bivariate data and equation of regression. Reason: appeared every year on paper 2 for both May and November sessions in the past 5 years.
3. 4.6 Venn and tree diagrams, probability of combined events, conditional probability and independent events. Reason: Accumulated the 2nd most amount of points in the last 5 years and appeared consistently in recent exams. 
4. 4.9 Normal distribution. Reason: At least 1 question on this topic for every examination session in the past 5 years, and becoming more and more popular in recent years. 
5. 5.9 Kinematic Problems. Reason: most points accumulated in the past 5 years of exams

Topics Moderately Likely to be on M2023 AASL Exam (Medium Study Priority)

1. 1.2 Arithmetic sequences and series. Reason: Appeared often in the past 5 years, and did not appear in N22 exams, making it more likely it will be on the M23 exam. 
2. 3.8 Solving trigonometric equations in a finite interval. Reason: Although this topic only has 33 points accumulated in the past 5 years, all the points were from the past few examination sessions which suggest it is a trending topic. 
3. 5.4 Tangents and normals at a given point. Reason: Again often tested in the past 5 years, but did not appear on the N22 exam making it likely to be on the M23 exam. 

Topics Unlikely to be on M2023 AASL Exam (Low Study Priority)

1. 1.1 Operations with numbers in the form a * 10^k. Reason: We never saw this type of question show up in the past 5 years of IB math exams. 
2. 5.5 introduction to the concept of a limit. Reason: Only accumulated 10 marks in the past 5 years and all 10 marks were from November sessions, therefore making this topic unlike to show up in the upcoming May session. 
3. 5.8 Local max and minimum points, points of inflexion. Reason: Although there are many marks accumulated for this topic, most of the marks were gathered in November sessions. May sessions for recent years had minimal marks for this topic.

Preparation Tips for Students doing IB Math AASL M2023 Exams

While our predictions based on past data analysis are a helpful guide for students preparing for the AASL M2023 Math exam, it’s important to note that it is best to cover all the content in the IB Math AASL syllabus rather than solely relying on our predictions. To ensure that you cover all sub-topics, use the official IB subject guide as a reference to guide your study.

Practice questions are also a crucial part of preparation, and the IB provides a question bank for students to access. Unfortunately, due to copyright issues, we cannot share the question bank here. However, utilizing the question bank will help students gain a better understanding of the type of questions that may appear on the exam.

If time is limited, focus on the top study priority topics that we have highlighted in our predictions. These topics are very likely to show up on the M2023 exams, and working on them will help ensure that you are adequately prepared for the exam.

In summary, students should prioritize covering the entire IB Math AASL syllabus, use the official subject guide, and practice past papers with the IB question bank. If time is limited, focus on the top study priority topics highlighted in our predictions. With these tips in mind, students can better prepare for the AASL M2023 Math exam and achieve their desired results.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the AASL Math exams are a critical component of the International Baccalaureate (IB) Math curriculum, accounting for 80% of a student’s final grade. To help students prepare for the AASL M2023 Math exam, this article has analyzed past IB Math exams and identified patterns to come up with predictions of the types of questions that may appear this year. By categorizing questions into specific topics and analyzing their point accumulation over the past five years, we have identified key topics that are likely to appear on the upcoming exam. While our categorization may not be 100% accurate, we believe that our efforts will provide valuable insights to students. It is important to note that this article only provides predictions, and students should also focus on other topics not included in our analysis.

FAQ

Q: What are AASL Math exams?

A: AASL Math exams are a crucial component of the International Baccalaureate (IB) Math curriculum, and they account for 80% of a student’s final grade.

Q: How can I prepare for the AASL M2023 Math exam?

A: The article suggests analyzing past IB Math exams to identify patterns and come up with an AASL M2023 exam prediction of the types of questions that may appear this year. The article also provides a list of key topics that are likely to be on the upcoming exam.

Q: How was the data collected for the AASL M2023 exam prediction?

A: Data was collected from the past five years’ exams, from May 2018 to Nov 2022. The questions and sub-questions were analyzed and categorized into topics listed on the AASL subject guide. The mark schemes were used to allocate individual marks to specific topics.

Q: Can the AASL M2023 exam prediction be 100% accurate?

A: No, the prediction cannot be 100% accurate because the categorization of questions into topics is not done by the IB. The prediction is based on the efforts of the math tutor to categorize the questions accurately.

Q: What are the top study priority topics for the AASL M2023 exam?

A: The top study priority topics for the AASL M2023 exam are 3.2 Sine rule, cosine rule, SOHCAHTOA; 4.4 Linear correlation of bivariate data and equation of regression; 4.6 Venn and tree diagrams, probability of combined events, conditional probability, and independent events; 4.9 Normal distribution; and 5.9 Kinematic Problems.

Q: Are there any topics that are unlikely to appear on the AASL M2023 exam?

A: Yes, there are topics that are unlikely to appear on the AASL M2023 exam, such as 1.1 Operations with numbers in the form a * 10^k, 5.5 Introduction to the concept of a limit, and 5.8 Local max and minimum points, points of inflexion. However, students should still study all topics to be well-prepared for the exam.